By D. Royer, G. Ritschard (auth.), J. P. Ancot (eds.)
Understanding the constitution of a giant econometric version is just like the paintings of winetasting or just like the artwork of enjoying a musical tool. the standard of a wine effects from a posh mixture of varied parts akin to its color which might be transparent and crystalline, its odor that are decomposed right into a common aroma and a number of specific features, roughly power counting on the kind and the age of the wine, its flavor, in fact, which back is a fancy method whose equilibrium and style rely on the entire set of elements: alcohol, tannin, glycerine, sugar, acidity . . . equally, a clarinetist's musicianship relies on the standard of his software, on his embouchure, fingering, tonguing and articu lation ideas, on his experience for rhythm, phasing and tone color. in spite of the fact that, the appeal produced by way of a Romanee-Conti or via a super functionality of Brahm's F minor sonata for clarinet and piano arises from a technique that is while time a lot less complicated and lots more and plenty extra complicated than the simple juxtaposition of person causal kinfolk. lately econometricians and macro-economists were challenged by means of the matter of conserving abreast with an ever expanding variety of progressively more advanced huge econometric types. the need of constructing systematic analytical instruments to review the usually implicit and hidden constitution of those versions has develop into extra evident.
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NOTES This work is derived from my thesis; I would therefore like to take the opportunity to thank the examiners, Mm. Fourgeaud, Vallee and Malgrange for their help and comments. But all remaining errors are strictly mine. 1) The words 'mathematical' and 'economic' are convenient characterisations of both approaches and do not imply any range of value. , F. Modigliani and R. G. ), E'conometric models of cyclical hehaviour, NBER studies in income and wealth No 36, Columbia University Press. Bentzel, R.
We attempt to conclude by proving the relevance of the second point of view with regard to the actual reading of a model by a macro-economist. 2. FIRST READING STEP: BUILDING A CAUSAUTY RELAnON In 1960, Strotz and Wold have stressed the gap between descriptive models (well known as 'black boxes') and causal models as in macroeconomics. In the latter models functional relationships between variables are not only guessed but are given a causal meaning: thus the dissymmetry between explanatory variable and explained variable introduced by econometricians and the dissymmetry between cause and effect are the same, even if this causality may appear with a probabilistic dimension.
1138-1162. Tarjan, R. (1972), 'Depth-first Search and Unear Graph Algorithms', SIAM, J. Comput, Vol. 1, No 2, pp_ 146-160. 35 CHAPTER 3 READING MACROECONOMIC MODELS AND BUILDING CAUSAL STRUCTURES M. g. Muet (1979) or Laffargue (1980», it turns out that analysing and understanding a model means neglecting some connections, interpretingone equation as fixing the level of one economic variable, ordering the equations in order to solve them, etc. All these operations can be gathered in the concept of reading.
Analysing the Structure of Econometric Models by D. Royer, G. Ritschard (auth.), J. P. Ancot (eds.)